EU’s Michel floats please-all recovery plan ahead of tough budget summit

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European Council President Charles Michel holds a news conference on the EU budget for 2021-27 ahead of a EU leaders summit, in Brussels, Belgium July 10, 2020. Kenzo Tribouillard/Pool via Reuters

BRUSSELS (Reuters) – European Council President Charles Michel on Friday sought to bridge gaps between EU countries over their long-term budget and economic stimulus plans before national leaders meet next week to haggle over how to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.

With EU economies in free fall in the wake of the pandemic, Michel will chair the first face-to-face talks of the 27 European Union heads since lockdowns took hold in March and feuds over how to respond to the coronavirus divided the bloc.

“The COVID-19 crisis presents Europe with a challenge of historic proportions,” Michel said. “We are slowly exiting the acute health crisis… the emphasis is now shifting to mitigating the socio-economic damage.”

Hoping to overcome major differences over how to revive economic growth between the wealthy, thrifty north and the high-debt south, hit harder by COVID-19, he proposed a smaller joint EU budget for 2021-27 than previously envisaged.

The Netherlands, Sweden and Finland were quick to welcome a step making the proposed massive stimulus scheme more palatable to the more frugal nations. But they all said more work was needed.

Michel presented a long-term EU budget of 1.074 trillion euros and a recovery fund of 750 billion euros for pandemic-hammered economies, with two-thirds of that to be in the form of free grants and a third issued as repayable loans.

“Some right steps regarding the (budget) but much work needs to be done on the recovery package. We need a lower overall level and better balance of grants and loans,” said Finnish Prime Minister Sanna Marin, who sits in the northern camp willing to offer loans rather than grants to the south.

Her comments were echoed by Sweden and by Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte – the key hawkish figure in the talks – insisted on enshrining economic reforms as conditions for accessing the funds, something the south wants to avoid.

The COVID-19 pandemic is the latest big challenge for the EU after a debt crisis a decade ago, mass immigration in the mid-2010s and the trauma of Brexit. Some have even framed it as an existential dilemma, as eurosceptic feeling grows in countries such as Italy.

Michel proposed maintaining the so-called rebates that wealthier states receive on their budget contributions and, in a couched reference to Poland, Hungary and others, said funding would be conditional on respect for the rule of law.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban – who stands accused of undercutting democracy at home – swiftly said Budapest could veto the plan if money came with strings attached.

That sets the stage for arm-twisting at the EU summit on July 17-18, though Olaf Sholz – the finance minister of Germany, which holds the bloc’s presidency – voiced optimism that the leaders would reach a deal.

A flurry of top-level meetings in recent days has helped to narrow the differences somewhat though some diplomats in Brussels already envisage more negotiations at a second summit later in July.

COMPLEX BUT CRITICAL

Michel proposed allocating most of the recovery funds to debt-burdened countries in the south like Italy and Greece, but also to efforts to combat climate change.

EU bargaining over money is always very fraught, and agreeing on budgets to cover spending from support for agriculture to regional development, research and scholarships is an arcane process in which member states trade concessions in one area against benefits in the other.

Even before the pandemic, which sent the euro zone’s economy into its worst-ever recession forecast at 8.7% this year, the bloc’s joint coffers were already short due to Brexit. Michel on Friday proposed a new, 5 billion euro fund to ease related disruptions in member states from 2021.

Rutte, who ostentatiously took a biography of Polish-French composer Fryderyk Chopin to previous budget talks to demonstrate that the proposal on the table was so far off he saw no point in engaging in negotiations, this time said:

“It’s starting to go our way. I will leave my Chopin book at home this time.”

But there is still a long road to an agreement – which will have to be ratified by the European Parliament and some national assemblies – as one EU lawmaker warned straightaway that the chamber could reject an overall budget below earlier plans.

“A smaller MFF will jeopardise EU support to our researchers & students. It will prevent us from tackling climate change or improving citizens’ security,” Siegfried Muresan said.

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