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COP23 scenario

Hans B. Boernke, Savusavu
Thursday, November 02, 2017

According to the 8th emission gap report by the UN-EP for Environment the world temperature will increase by at least 3C compared with the temperature from before the industrial revolution.

Although in Paris the international community agreed to keep the increase well below 2C preferably even around 1.5C we already have reached 1.2C.

So we have until the end of this century to keep the temperature below 1.5 degrees to avoid the worst and this seems unlikely.

Why? Major contributors are the coal-fired power stations.

To come as close to the optimal goal of 1.5C I believe all coal has to stay below ground from now on and no more new power station to be built which are fired by coal.

When one looks at the USA, Europe and China that is most unlikely to happen.

So what will happen at COP23 in Bonn?

Let's wish the Prime Minister Bainimarama as the president of COP23 and his team full success to create the necessary awareness with all attending countries.

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